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Mutual Funds vs Index Funds

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by Lucas   ·  July 22, 2024   ·  

Survivorship Bias in Mutual Funds: Actively managed mutual funds often suffer from survivorship bias because poorly performing funds are closed or merged, which skews average performance data upward. Accounting for survivorship bias gives a more accurate picture of the average fund performance. Aggregate Data: S&P 500 Index: Average annual return (1993-2023): Approximately 10-11% per year, including dividends. SPIVA Report Data (2023): The ...

The Astounding Growth of the U.S. Market: From Billions to Trillions

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by Lucas   ·  July 20, 2024   ·  

The U.S. market has witnessed unprecedented growth over the past several decades, transforming from a modest valuation to a colossal financial powerhouse. To truly appreciate this journey, let's delve into some remarkable statistics that highlight the incredible expansion of the market. A Historical Perspective In 1951, the U.S. market valuation stood at a mere $2.5 billion. This ...

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Are Stock Prices Always Wrong If Speculators Dominate The Market?

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by Lucas   ·  July 15, 2024   ·  

Speculators are market participants who seek to profit from short-term price movements rather than long-term investments based on fundamental values. They often engage in high-frequency trading, options trading, and other strategies that exploit market inefficiencies. Speculators are frequently blamed for increasing market volatility and creating price bubbles or crashes. However, they also provide crucial liquidity ...

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George Soros on Boom & Bust Sequence

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by Lucas   ·  July 4, 2024   ·  

In the realm of economic cycles, the boom/bust sequence is a well-recognized phenomenon, characterized by periods of rapid economic growth followed by periods of contraction. This perspective highlights several key aspects of economic cycles: Uncertainty and Indeterminacy: The boom/bust sequence is not a deterministic process. Various unpredictable factors, including market sentiment, geopolitical events, and technological breakthroughs, can ...